Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001781 0.001860 0.001941 0.002032 0.002131 0.002237 0.002359
2025-06-01 0.001630 0.001738 0.001855 0.001992 0.002150 0.002327 0.002544
2025-06-08 0.001559 0.001691 0.001839 0.002019 0.002236 0.002493 0.002829
2025-06-15 0.001497 0.001646 0.001816 0.002032 0.002301 0.002636 0.003101
2025-06-22 0.001430 0.001587 0.001772 0.002010 0.002318 0.002717 0.003298
2025-06-29 0.001368 0.001530 0.001724 0.001979 0.002317 0.002769 0.003459
2025-07-06 0.001323 0.001490 0.001694 0.001966 0.002336 0.002847 0.003665
2025-07-13 0.001257 0.001422 0.001623 0.001895 0.002270 0.002797 0.003665
2025-07-20 0.001225 0.001394 0.001602 0.001888 0.002290 0.002873 0.003875
2025-07-27 0.001205 0.001379 0.001596 0.001901 0.002338 0.002992 0.004179
2025-08-03 0.001176 0.001351 0.001573 0.001887 0.002346 0.003051 0.004383
2025-08-10 0.001160 0.001340 0.001570 0.001901 0.002396 0.003179 0.004746
2025-08-17 0.001135 0.001317 0.001552 0.001893 0.002413 0.003259 0.005038
2025-08-24 0.001107 0.001288 0.001524 0.001871 0.002406 0.003296 0.005248
2025-08-31 0.001098 0.001286 0.001532 0.001900 0.002482 0.003489 0.005881
2025-09-07 0.001085 0.001276 0.001530 0.001913 0.002534 0.003646 0.006489
2025-09-14 0.001063 0.001253 0.001507 0.001895 0.002531 0.003696 0.006828
2025-09-21 0.001038 0.001227 0.001479 0.001868 0.002510 0.003709 0.007059
2025-09-28 0.001020 0.001208 0.001462 0.001856 0.002516 0.003774 0.007490
2025-10-05 0.000987 0.001168 0.001413 0.001793 0.002427 0.003634 0.007175
2025-10-12 0.000972 0.001154 0.001401 0.001786 0.002439 0.003709 0.007655
2025-10-19 0.000964 0.001148 0.001400 0.001797 0.002482 0.003859 0.008513
2025-10-26 0.000949 0.001133 0.001385 0.001785 0.002483 0.003912 0.009015